Paper

Why the Gulf Is an Early Theater for Distributed Coercion Risk

The Gulf combines high-value targets, dense infrastructure exposure, maritime vulnerability, and strong incentives for adversaries to operate at distance. It is a place where cheap coercion can produce expensive consequences.

April 18, 2026

Paper

Why Civil Control of Dual-Use Connectivity Will Fail in UK Waters

This paper examines why civil registration and whitelisting regimes cannot contain adversarial use of commercial LEO connectivity once that connectivity becomes indispensable for unmanned maritime operations — and why the UK is approaching the same threshold seen in Ukraine.

January 1, 2026