Section
Research on how crime adapts to commercial infrastructure, how enforcement lags behind scale, and how illicit and strategic actors increasingly operate through the same systems. Authored by Roman Khimich.
Paper
Payments for remotely tasked sabotage are routinely read as evidence of scale — they are better read as a calibration instrument that tells you when a reported transaction was not a purchase at all.
Paper
Scenario analysis of maritime coercion as a grey-zone strategy — how cheap, ambiguous attacks on commercial shipping, crews, insurers, and ports can produce disproportionate strategic effects without triggering conventional military responses.
Paper
Ukraine's June 21 drone attacks on the Kerch ferry crossing and surrounding ports advance the maritime coercion scenario from Base++ toward a localised early-Worst condition in the Kerch–Crimea logistics corridor.
Paper
British bank phone scams are misclassified as a consumer protection problem. This paper argues they constitute cross-border industrial coercion — and that the £173 million annual reimbursement figure is the price of that misclassification.
Paper
Scam centres persist not because enforcement fails, but because disruption never reaches the real choke points: labour control, payment rails, and jurisdictional protection.
Paper
By the time a coercive system has a settled regulatory label, the underlying power shift has often already happened. Why institutions systematically miss the transition.
Framework
Distributed coercion describes a condition in which the ability to intimidate, compel, disrupt, or physically harm others becomes modular, networked, and purchasable — and why existing security frameworks systematically under-read the shift.
Paper
The Gulf combines high-value targets, dense infrastructure exposure, maritime vulnerability, and strong incentives for adversaries to operate at distance. It is a place where cheap coercion can produce expensive consequences.
Paper
The language of cybercrime often misses the way criminal activity now operates through mainstream commercial infrastructure rather than outside it.