Framework

What is Platform Sovereignty?

Platform sovereignty describes the condition in which a private platform acquires practical governing power over an essential function because exit becomes difficult, slow, or institutionally costly.

April 18, 2026

Framework

The Indispensability Threshold

The indispensability threshold is crossed when replacing or bypassing a system ceases to be a normal procurement choice and becomes a strategic disruption.

April 18, 2026

Paper

One Technology, Four Governance Regimes

AI markets are fragmenting — not because models differ, but because governance does. A framework for understanding how export platforms, full-stack sovereignty, regulated dependence and market-conditioned access are reshaping AI procurement.

June 25, 2026

Paper

Institutionalised Maritime Coercion: The Base++ Scenario

Scenario analysis of maritime coercion as a grey-zone strategy — how cheap, ambiguous attacks on commercial shipping, crews, insurers, and ports can produce disproportionate strategic effects without triggering conventional military responses.

June 21, 2026

Paper

From Drone Armies to Systems States: Research Update — June 2026

Ukrainian practitioner evidence from an April 2026 defence-industry panel reveals that adaptation speed is a vector across five sequential clocks, not a single national rate — and identifies institutional absorption capacity as a missing dimension of adaptive system quality.

June 21, 2026

Paper

Starlink and Starshield: Research Update — June 2026

New evidence from Pentagon contracts, U.S. Space Systems Command clarifications, and Ukraine's 2026 Starlink whitelist refines the original thesis: institutional separation does not require physical separation.

June 21, 2026

Framework

Jurisdictional Cover and Epistemic Cover

Two mechanisms that stabilise coercive infrastructure by making it physically unreachable and analytically invisible — and what the FCPI framework reveals about both.

April 26, 2026

Paper

Why Civil Control of Dual-Use Connectivity Will Fail in UK Waters

This paper examines why civil registration and whitelisting regimes cannot contain adversarial use of commercial LEO connectivity once that connectivity becomes indispensable for unmanned maritime operations — and why the UK is approaching the same threshold seen in Ukraine.

January 1, 2026

Paper

When Neutral Platforms Become War Infrastructure

Most commentary on Starlink in Ukraine treats the story as a drama about personality or corporate politics. The deeper issue is structural: a privately governed platform became indispensable inside a coercive system but was still governed as a platform. Once that happened, neutrality stopped being stable.

December 1, 2025